the APM gas formula price for October 2026, above the $9.89 deepwater limit
ONGC's APM gas outprices deepwater gas on paper
India prices the gas from its own fields in 2 ways: one for APM gas and one for deepwater gas. Since April 2026 the 2 have often given a strange result: in 5 of the 7 months from April to October, the APM formula came out above the most that deepwater gas may sell for. And October 2026 is the latest.
APM gas (administered price mechanism) comes from ONGC's and Oil India's "nomination" fields, old fields the government handed them decades ago without bidding. The government prices it at 10% of the average price of the crude India imports, which resets every month. For October 2026 that formula gave $11.22 per MMBtu (the unit gas is sold in).
Deepwater gas, in the government's rules, is gas from deepwater, ultra-deepwater and high-pressure, high-temperature (HPHT) fields: deep under the sea, or in rock so hot and pressurised that drilling is difficult. The government itself calls these "difficult areas". Since 2016, gas from newer fields of this kind can be sold at market prices, up to a limit. On 30 September 2026 that limit was set at $9.89 for October 2026 to March 2027.
So in October the APM formula is again above the most that deepwater gas can sell for. The APM formula moves every month with crude: it jumped from $6.81 in March 2026 to $10.76 in April. The deepwater limit changes only every 6 months, using fuel prices from the past year, a quarter late. In April it actually fell, from $9.72 to $8.90.
And ONGC and Oil India do not even get the $11.22. Their price for APM gas is capped at $7.00, which has risen by only $0.25 a year since 2025. So they get $4.22 less per MMBtu than the formula, 38% of it.
The government said these rules would make piped gas and CNG cheaper and lower its fertiliser subsidy bill. But the cost falls on ONGC and Oil India, which it also wants to produce more gas. ONGC sits on both sides. Its APM gas is stuck at $7.00, while its deepwater gas, such as from its KG-DWN-98/2 block, can sell for up to $9.89.
ONGC's APM gas outprices deepwater gas on paper
India's gas prices in US$ per MMBtu, October 2025 to October 2026. Since April the APM formula has topped the deepwater limit in 5 of 7 months.
US$ per MMBtu
APM gas: from ONGC's and Oil India's old nomination fields; its formula is 10% of the crude oil price, reset every month. Paid to ONGC: the formula or the government's cap, whichever is lower; Oil India gets the same. Deepwater limit: the most gas from deepwater, ultra-deepwater and HPHT fields may sell for.
PPAC (Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas) price notifications · Oct 2025 to Oct 2026
Sources
- PPAC notification, 30 September 2026: Gas Price Ceiling for the period October 2026 to March 2027 (deepwater, ultra deepwater and HPHT gas)
- PPAC notification, 30 September 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for 1 to 31 October 2026
- Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Gazette notification L-12015/1/2022-GP-II, 7 April 2023: Review of New Domestic Gas Pricing Guidelines, 2014 (English text on page 3)
- PIB, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, 6 April 2023: Cabinet approves revised domestic gas pricing guidelines
- Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Investment opportunities (gas): marketing and pricing freedom for gas from deepwater, ultra deepwater and HPHT areas
- PPAC notification, 31 March 2026: Gas Price Ceiling for the period April 2026 to September 2026
- PPAC notification, 30 September 2025: Gas Price Ceiling for the period October 2025 to March 2026
- PPAC notification, 30 September 2025: Domestic Natural Gas Price for October 2025
- PPAC notification, 31 October 2025: Domestic Natural Gas Price for November 2025
- PPAC notification, 31 January 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for February 2026
- PPAC notification, 28 February 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for March 2026
- PPAC notification, 31 March 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for April 2026
- PPAC notification, 30 April 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for May 2026
- PPAC notification, 31 May 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for June 2026
- PPAC notification, 31 August 2026: Domestic Natural Gas Price for September 2026
- PPAC, Gas price notifications (listing; page 2 for October 2025 to February 2026)
- PIB, Decision on marketing including pricing freedom for gas from High Pressure-High Temperature, Deepwater and Ultra Deepwater areas, 10 March 2016
- Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas, Exploration and production: block award (nomination regime)
- Millennium Post, Centre hikes deepwater gas ceiling price to $9.89/MMBtu for 6 months, 5 October 2026